Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000159 0.000176 0.000195 0.000216 0.000240 0.000266 0.000296
2025-05-11 0.000128 0.000152 0.000181 0.000217 0.000261 0.000314 0.000383
2025-05-18 0.000107 0.000135 0.000169 0.000215 0.000275 0.000353 0.000461
2025-05-25 0.000093 0.000122 0.000160 0.000213 0.000287 0.000388 0.000537
2025-06-01 0.000082 0.000112 0.000152 0.000210 0.000296 0.000418 0.000609
2025-06-08 0.000072 0.000101 0.000142 0.000203 0.000296 0.000436 0.000665
2025-06-15 0.000067 0.000096 0.000139 0.000206 0.000311 0.000475 0.000759
2025-06-22 0.000063 0.000093 0.000137 0.000210 0.000328 0.000520 0.000868
2025-06-29 0.000057 0.000086 0.000131 0.000205 0.000331 0.000542 0.000939
2025-07-06 0.000052 0.000079 0.000122 0.000196 0.000325 0.000547 0.000982
2025-07-13 0.000048 0.000076 0.000120 0.000197 0.000335 0.000583 0.001084
2025-07-20 0.000046 0.000074 0.000119 0.000200 0.000349 0.000626 0.001209
2025-07-27 0.000043 0.000070 0.000115 0.000198 0.000356 0.000659 0.001322
2025-08-03 0.000041 0.000067 0.000113 0.000200 0.000370 0.000707 0.001477
2025-08-10 0.000038 0.000064 0.000110 0.000199 0.000378 0.000743 0.001614
2025-08-17 0.000036 0.000061 0.000106 0.000197 0.000384 0.000780 0.001757
2025-08-24 0.000033 0.000058 0.000103 0.000194 0.000388 0.000810 0.001893
2025-08-31 0.000031 0.000054 0.000098 0.000188 0.000383 0.000820 0.001978
2025-09-07 0.000029 0.000053 0.000097 0.000190 0.000398 0.000877 0.002196
2025-09-14 0.000028 0.000052 0.000097 0.000194 0.000416 0.000945 0.002460
2025-09-21 0.000027 0.000049 0.000093 0.000190 0.000416 0.000967 0.002601
2025-09-28 0.000025 0.000046 0.000088 0.000182 0.000405 0.000962 0.002658
2025-10-05 0.000024 0.000045 0.000086 0.000182 0.000415 0.001013 0.002899